TL;DR
| Year | Inflows ($ bn) | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 44.8 | — |
| 2022 | 49.4 | +10.3% |
| 2023 | 28.1 | -43.1% |
| 2024 | 27.1 | -3.6% |
| 2025 | 38.9 | +43.5% |
| Rank | Country | Inflows ($ bn) | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 277 | -3% |
| 2 | Singapore | 151 | +11% |
| 3 | Hong Kong | 116 | -16% |
| 4 | China | 105 | -10% |
| 5 | Brazil | 77 | +23% |
| 11 | India | 39 | +44% |
India’s 44% growth rate outpaced every economy ranked ahead of it but the absolute figure still lags well behind the top five. India also ranks second globally as a host for megaprojects (investments of $1 billion or more), trailing only Egypt and ahead of the UK and Brazil.
Despite the improved global rank, India’s FDI-to-GDP ratio remains modest compared to other large emerging markets:
| Country | 2025 Inflows ($ bn) | FDI as % of GDP |
|---|---|---|
| China | 105 | 0.5% |
| Brazil | 77 | 3.4% |
| Mexico | 41 | 2.2% |
| India | 39 | 1.0% |
| Saudi Arabia | 33 | 2.6% |
| Indonesia | 21 | 1.5% |
| Vietnam | 20 | 4.1% |
India draws roughly a quarter of Vietnam’s FDI intensity relative to GDP, and less than a third of Brazil’s. Foreign capital is clearly attracted to India’s growth story, but has not yet been allocated to India in proportion to the size of its economy. That catch-up runway is the kind of structural tailwind that underpins long-duration private capital theses, the same ones being priced into growth equity and pre-IPO secondary transactions today.
Announced greenfield investment by sector shows a clear rotation. Manufacturing stood at $23 billion against services’ $34 billion in 2015; by 2025, manufacturing had climbed to $47 billion, overtaking services at $27 billion. India’s share of EU materials and industrial manufacturing greenfield investment rose to 35%, up from just 9% in 2015–19.
This mirrors a broader pattern visible across India’s private capital markets: industrial and energy sectors are attracting larger, more concentrated capital cheques even as overall PE deal count falls elsewhere. Greenfield FDI into manufacturing today is effectively seeding the next generation of companies that will need growth capital and then liquidity events over the next five to seven years.
India’s outward investment reached $36 billion in 2025, up 50% year-on-year, moving India to 18th globally as an FDI source economy, its first appearance in the global top 20 in recent years. Rana Group’s $10 billion announced UAE project was the single largest contributor. India also became one of the top three destinations for AI infrastructure and tech greenfield projects globally between 2020 and 2025, alongside the EU and USA.
Indian firms becoming outbound acquirers and capital exporters matters directly for private equity exit math: a strategic buyer base that increasingly includes large, cash-generative Indian conglomerates expands the universe of trade-sale exits available to portfolio companies as an alternative pressure valve alongside IPOs and secondary sales when public market windows are inconsistent.
Three threads from this data connect directly to the exit and liquidity conversation in Indian private markets:
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